Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Borgo San Donnino		Alcione

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.87	2.5
	2.7	2.85	2.55
	2.62	2.77	2.45
	2.8	2.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.62)	2.81 ↑ (2.77)	2.54 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borgo San Donnino
33.1%

Draw
31.7%

Alcione
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

21.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borgo San Donnino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borgo San Donnino than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borgo San Donnino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Borgo San Donnino - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borgo San Donnino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borgo San Donnino
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.02.22	Correggese - Borgo San Donnino	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Borgo San Donnino - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
02.02.22	Real Forte Querceta - Borgo San Donnino	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Borgo San Donnino - Mezzolara	1:1 ✺
26.01.22	Borgo San Donnino - Forlì	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLTW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.02.22	Alcione - Tritium	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Sammaurese - Alcione	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Alcione - Prato	0:3 ✺
30.01.22	Forlì - Alcione	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Sasso Marconi - Alcione	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
10.10.21	Alcione - Borgo San Donnino	2:1

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