Match Info

ASIA: ASEAN Club Championship - Round 4

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cambodia	True Sport 3
China	Leisu Sports
India	Vision+
Laos	True Sport 3
Malaysia	Astro Go
Singapore	meWATCH
Thailand	AIS PLAY, True Sport 3
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Borneo Samarinda		Kaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	5.5	7.5
	1.25	5.6	7.59
	1.26	5.83	8.14	Watch
	1.33	5.62	7.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)	5.64 ↑ (4.69)	7.6 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borneo Samarinda
71.7%

Draw
16.2%

Kaya
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

19.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

20.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borneo Samarinda's performance.

Kaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaya than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Borneo Samarinda - Kaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Borneo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kaya will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Argawinata N. (G) 56. Fathurrahman F. 2. Ronaldo 5. Gabriel Furtado 22. Nduwarugira C. 16. Teguh K. 8. Hirose K. 54. Buffon M. 14. Lilipaly S. 68. Jusuf H. 23. Peralta M.	1. Birrou W. (G) 12. Diano M. 3. Saito A. 15. Casambre M. 44. Menzi A. (C) 88. Yamazaki K. 13. Melliza J. 6. Swainston M. 77. Rey G. 14. Komaki S. 7. Bedic J.
Substitutes
11. Adsit G. 50. Enero 63. Fasya D. (G) 15. Guntara L. 66. Hardiansyah D. 88. Kuswardani D. 24. Michiels D. 12. Siswanto H. 55. Sonriza D.	8. Angeles M. 22. Arboleda F. 24. Basindanan S. 30. del Rosario L. 25. Esso E. 16. Lim Bata N. A. (G) 33. Romero J. 23. Rota S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽, Lilipaly S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Swainston M. ↓, Esso E. ↑,
56', Rey G. ↓, del Rosario L. ↑,
62', Jusuf H. ↓, Hardiansyah D. ↑,
70', Buffon M. ↓, Kuswardani D. ↑,
73', Bedic J. ↓, Basindanan S. ↑,
74', Hirose K. ↓, Enero ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Melliza J. ⚽, Komaki S. (A),
85', Komaki S. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Hardiansyah D. ⚽, Peralta M. (A),
90+4', Peralta M. 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Borneo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kaya is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borneo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borneo is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
19.01.25	Borneo Samarinda - Arema	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Borneo Samarinda - Semen Padang	1:3 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
09.01.25	Buriram United - Borneo Samarinda	4:0 ✺
Indonesian Super League
27.12.24	Borneo Samarinda - Persik Kediri	0:4 ✺
20.12.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- Kaya FC
ASEAN Club Championship
09.01.25	Kaya - Cong An Ha Noi	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
05.12.24	Sydney - Kaya	3:1 ✺
Philippines PFL
01.12.24	One Taguig - Kaya	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
28.11.24	Kaya - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
Philippines PFL
23.11.24	Kaya - Mendiola	9:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWTW

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