Match Info

Super League - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Persebaya Surabaya		Borneo Samarinda

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.39	3.48	2.13
	3.55	3.58	1.97	Watch
	3.5	3.2	1.91
	3.37	3.32	2.13
	3.33	3.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.05)	3.35 ↑ (3.15)	2.03 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Persebaya Surabaya
27.2%

Draw
27.5%

Borneo Samarinda
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.9%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Borneo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Persebaya (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borneo Samarinda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Persebaya (votes: 1 - 20%). Borneo (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 53. Irianto R. (C) 24. Lelis L. S. 91. Tumbas D. 68. Firmansyah T. 88. Raickovic M. 55. Putra S. 22. Freitas Gali 99. Diego Mauricio 77. Malik R.	1. Argawinata N. (C) 14. Fathurrahman F. 16. Teguh K. 22. Nduwarugira C. 23. Caxambu 8. Hirose K. 50. Enero 20. Villa J. 99. Sihran M. 9. Joel Vinicius 10. Peralta M.
Substitutes
33. Araya K. 81. Baihaqi M. 4. Dimov D. 8. Fernando O. 18. May R. 27. Oscario R. (G) 11. Perovic M. 23. Raditya K. 9. Rizky D. 12. Suaib A. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.	52. Ahmad Agung 3. Alhafiz H. 55. Al H. M. 54. Buffon A. 32. Douglas Coutinho 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 57. Islami Muhammad Narendra T. 88. Kuswardani D. 24. Michiels D. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.
Coaches
Nawawi U.	Lefundes F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Villa J. ⚽, Caxambu (A),
24', 1 - 1, Freitas Gali ⚽,
36', Firmansyah T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Enero ↓, Al H. M. ↑,
65', Caxambu ↓, Douglas Coutinho ↑,
65', Sihran M. ↓, Hardiansyah D. ↑,
68', Firmansyah T. ↓, Baihaqi M. ↑,
69', Diego Mauricio ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
69', Freitas Gali ↓, May R. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Lelis L. S. (Own goal),
76', Putra S. ↓, Rizky D. ↑,
83', Joel Vinicius ↓, Buffon A. ↑,
83', Fathurrahman F. ↓, Kuswardani D. ↑,
89', Buffon A. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Malik R. ⚽,
90+5', May R. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Persebaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Borneo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
06.12.25	PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Bhayangkara - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Arema	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Persik Kediri - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Persis Solo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTTW
- Borneo Samarinda
Indonesian Super League
05.12.25	Persib Bandung - Borneo Samarinda	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Bali United Pusam	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Madura United	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Semen Padang - Borneo Samarinda	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Borneo Samarinda - Dewa United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
18.05.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1
20.12.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:1
07.03.24	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	2:1
03.09.23	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:1
03.02.23	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	3:2
19.08.22	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	2:1
30.03.22	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	1:2

Upcoming Matches