The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Borneo Samarinda 68.4%
Draw 18.6%
Semen Padang 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.5%
19.2%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.5%
18.4%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Borneo Samarinda - Semen Padang Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Argawinata N. (C) 54. Buffon A. 22. Nduwarugira C. 16. Teguh K. 23. Caxambu 50. Enero 8. Hirose K. 96. Kaio Nunes 7. Astina M. 10. Peralta M. 9. Obieta K.
1. Augusto A. (G) 24. Meneses A. (C) 5. Gufron A. 4. Giraldo J. 3. Kristiano A. 10. Froese K. 21. Diarra B. 63. Wahyudi R. 8. Ariansyah R. 7. Nakagawa K. 9. Guillermo
Substitutes
52. Ahmad Agung 14. Anez M. 5. Cleylton 11. Fachgi R. 63. Fasya D. (G) 66. Hardiansyah D. 3. Idrus A. 68. Jusuf H. 24. Michiels D. 99. Sihran M. 30. Trisna S. (G) 6. Zikrak I.
25. Afandi Z. 22. Botan K. 13. Diego Mauricio 15. Juliansyah F. 17. Maicon Souza 27. Oscario R. (G) 31. Setiawan R.
Coaches
Lefundes F.
Nahumarury I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Teguh K. ⚽,
28', Gufron A. 🟨,
35', Meneses A. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Kaio Nunes ⚽, Caxambu (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nakagawa K. ↓, Botan K. ↑,
61', Diarra B. ↓, Setiawan R. ↑,
64', Enero ↓, Zikrak I. ↑,
65', Kaio Nunes ↓, Anez M. ↑,
67', Gufron A. ↓, Juliansyah F. ↑,
73', Giraldo J. 🟨,
73', Froese K. ↓, Maicon Souza ↑,
78', Obieta K. 🟨,
79', Astina M. ↓, Sihran M. ↑,
88', Caxambu ↓, Cleylton ↑,
88', Teguh K. ↓, Michiels D. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Obieta K. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 3.
Borneo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Semen Padang is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Borneo is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Borneo will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Borneo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Indonesia
Watch
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Argawinata N. (C) 
Nduwarugira C. 
Caxambu 
Hirose K. 
Astina M. 
Obieta K. 
Meneses A. (C) 
Giraldo J. 
Froese K. 
Diarra B. 
Anez M. 
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