Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Brombacher J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Borussia Dortmund II		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.25	3.45	2.88
	2.25	3.35	2.95
	2.34	3.58	3.07
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.25	3.5	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.82)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	2.95 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
41.1%

Draw
27.5%

Oldenburg
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

24.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund II's form might have worsened.

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldenburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	26.3%	47.4%

Borussia Dortmund II - Oldenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldenburg: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Borussia Dortmund II is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oldenburg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
03.09.22	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Freiburg II	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
10.08.22	Saarbrücken - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
03.09.22	Oldenburg - Osnabrück	4:3 ✺
29.08.22	Duisburg - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Oldenburg - Verl	1:0 ✺
12.08.22	Hallescher - Oldenburg	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Oldenburg - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWLL

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