Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Duisburg		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.95	3.5	3.2
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.87	3.68	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.4)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	3.43 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
48%

Draw
25.8%

Oldenburg
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

25.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Duisburg's performance.

Oldenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duisburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Duisburg - Oldenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 18 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 76.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Duisburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oldenburg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
12.11.22	Duisburg - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
08.11.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Duisburg - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
28.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	1:3 ✺
22.10.22	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWTWT
- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
13.11.22	Oldenburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1 ✺
09.11.22	Saarbrücken - Oldenburg	3:1 ✺
06.11.22	Oldenburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:5 ✺
30.10.22	Freiburg II - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Oldenburg - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
29.08.22	Duisburg - Oldenburg	1:1

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