Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Referee: Stegemann M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Oldenburg		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	1.85
	3.3	3.5	2.05
	3.3	3.6	1.98
	3.25	3.6	2.05
	3.39	3.79	2.1
	3.25	3.25	2.05
	3.4	3.62	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.85)	3.59 ↓ (3.73)	2.01 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
27.9%

Draw
25.9%

Osnabrück
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.6%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

23.3%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osnabrück might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	53.8%	15.4%

Oldenburg - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Oldenburg will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Osnabrück will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 12).

The competitors look crappy now.

Osnabrück will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
29.08.22	Duisburg - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Oldenburg - Verl	1:0 ✺
12.08.22	Hallescher - Oldenburg	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Oldenburg - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
06.08.22	1860 München - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLLL
- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
27.08.22	Osnabrück - Saarbrücken	2:2 ✺
20.08.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Bayreuth - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
10.08.22	Osnabrück - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
07.08.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTLLT

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