Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boston River		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4
	1.8	3.25	4.35
	1.69	3.66	5.6
	1.95	3.05	4.39	Watch
	1.86	3.28	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.19)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)	4.66 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
51.7%

Draw
28.2%

Plaza Colonia
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.8%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boston River's performance.

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plaza Colonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boston River that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plaza Colonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Boston River - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Boston River (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Boston River will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boston River will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston River (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 4. Gomez M. 14. Bortagaray G. (C) 25. Chiappini F. 5. Barrios F. 6. Romero A. 70. Albarracin A. 9. Anello A. 18. Viera G. 11. Avenatti F.	44. Reyes G. (G) 6. Redin M. 4. Ruiz Diaz H. 21. Hernandez J. P. 22. Ramos J. 15. Meite Y. 3. Calleros Y. (C) 14. Vergara H. 80. Carrizo L. 30. Maidana A. 13. Garcia J.
Substitutes
32. Barcia B. 28. Gonzalez A. 19. Granja A. 17. Haller R. 33. Hernandez E. (G) 21. Lopez G. 3. Mancebo M. 26. Munoa F. 15. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 7. Rodriguez F.	77. Acosta B. 27. Barros C. 11. Bueno G. 18. Cayetano A. 2. Lorenzi M. 10. Ocampo A. 17. Otegui S. 5. Pachame S. 23. Piriz F. 25. Silva J. (G)
Coaches
Viera J.	Diaz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Anello A. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Anello A. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Anello A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Garcia J. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
46', Meite Y. ↓, Piriz F. ↑,
46', Ruiz Diaz H. ↓, Lorenzi M. ↑,
49', 4 - 0, Albarracin A. ⚽,
52', Anello A. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
52', Albarracin A. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
63', Maidana A. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
69', 5 - 0, Munoa F. ⚽,
71', Carrizo L. ↓, Otegui S. ↑,
73', Avenatti F. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
73', Viera G. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
77', 6 - 0, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
84', 6 - 1, Ramos J. (Pen),
87', Mancebo M. 🟨,
89', Ocampo A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 1.

In recent matches, Boston River has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Plaza Colonia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Boston River is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Boston River - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.67%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Plaza Colonia - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.25	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
10.09.25	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.25	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Boston River - Progreso	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWWT
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.09.25	Plaza Colonia - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
11.09.25	Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Plaza Colonia - Montevideo City Torque	2:4 ✺
23.08.25	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.03.25	Plaza Colonia - Boston River	0:1
08.12.23	Plaza Colonia - Boston River	3:2
15.05.23	Boston River - Plaza Colonia	1:1
30.07.22	Plaza Colonia - Boston River	1:1
14.06.22	Plaza Colonia - Boston River	0:0
06.02.22	Boston River - Plaza Colonia	0:0
22.11.21	Boston River - Plaza Colonia	2:0

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