The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plaza Colonia 13.3%
Draw 22.8%
Nacional Montevideo 63.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15%
24.7%
60.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.6%
24%
62.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Plaza Colonia - Nacional Montevideo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Nacional Montevideo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Reyes G. (G) 20. Redin E. 4. Ruiz Diaz H. 21. Hernandez J. P. 22. Ramos J. 15. Meite Y. 3. Calleros Y. (C) 14. Vergara H. 80. Carrizo L. 30. Maidana A. 9. Lopez A.
12. Mejia L. (G) 13. Ancheta E. 4. Coates S. (C) 29. Millan J. 27. Romero D. 6. Boggio L. 8. Oliva C. 16. Villalba Jaume L. M. 7. Lopez N. 14. Lodeiro N. 9. Gomez M.
Substitutes
77. Acosta B. 27. Barros C. 11. Bueno G. 2. Lorenzi M. 10. Ocampo A. 17. Otegui S. 23. Piriz F. 6. Redin M. 25. Silva J. (G) 16. Velazquez M.
20. Carneiro G. 17. de los Santos M. 30. Dos Santos A. 18. Ebere C. 24. Mereles E. 2. Palacios H. 33. Patino J. 10. Pereyra M. 23. Rodriguez L. 25. Suarez I. (G)
Coaches
Diaz S.
Peirano P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
16', Redin E. ↓, Velazquez M. ↑,
18', Calleros Y. 🟨,
32', Vergara H. 🟨,
37', Boggio L. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Maidana A. ↓, Barros C. ↑,
54', Velazquez M. ↓, Lorenzi M. ↑,
54', Meite Y. 🟨,
61', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
72', Meite Y. ↓, Piriz F. ↑,
72', Vergara H. ↓, Redin M. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Gomez M. ⚽,
81', Carneiro G. 🟨,
85', Lodeiro N. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
90+1', Barros C. 🟨,
90+3', Ruiz Diaz H. 🟨,
90+5', Lopez N. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
90+8', Romero D. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 1.
Plaza Colonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Plaza Colonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).