Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Plaza Colonia		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3	3	2.32	Watch
	3.17	3.1	2.5
	2.00	3.22	3.86	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	3.02	3.08	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (4.24)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	2.55 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
32%

Draw
30.7%

Montevideo City Torque
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

28.6%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plaza Colonia's performance.

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Plaza Colonia - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montevideo City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Montevideo City (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Montevideo City (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Montevideo City (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Silva J. (G) 3. Calleros Y. 80. Carrizo L. 21. Hernandez J. P. 7. Lopez A. 15. Meite Y. 23. Piriz F. 22. Ramos J. 6. Redin M. 4. Ruiz Diaz H. 14. Vergara H.	1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. (C) 4. Fratta G. 19. Guzman D. 24. Kagelmacher G. 20. Montes G. 9. Neris P. 21. Nunez W. 11. Obregon E. 8. Siles P. 26. Silvera F.
Substitutes
9. Alex Bruno 27. Barros C. 11. Bueno G. 13. Garcia J. 10. Ocampo A. 5. Pachame S. 20. Redin E. 44. Reyes G. (G) 8. Villalba D.	7. Andrade L. 30. Arevalo K. 15. Busquets E. 18. Costa S. 31. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 14. Kociubinski B. 22. Mendez R. (G) 27. Taran J.
Coaches
Diaz S.	Mendez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Silvera F. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽, Vergara H. (A),
33', Vergara H. 🟨,
43', Guzman D. 🟨,
45+2', Hernandez J. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Aguero E. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
46', Guzman D. ↓, Arevalo K. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Nunez W. ⚽,
54', Vergara H. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
55', Carrizo L. ↓, Barros C. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Ruiz Diaz H. ⚽,
59', Ramos J. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Arevalo K. ⚽,
69', Lopez A. ↓, Alex Bruno ↑,
78', Siles P. 🟨,
80', Obregon E. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
84', Redin M. 🟨,
87', 2 - 3, Busquets E. ⚽,
88', Redin M. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,
88', Piriz F. ↓, Redin E. ↑,
90', Nunez W. ↓, Taran J. ↑,
90', Neris P. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 4, Arevalo K. ⚽,
90+6', Arevalo K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 2.

Plaza Colonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Montevideo City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Montevideo City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.08.25	Defensor Sporting - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Plaza Colonia - Cerro	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Plaza Colonia	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
07.08.25	Wanderers Durazno - Plaza Colonia	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.08.25	Plaza Colonia - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.08.25	Montevideo City Torque - Racing Montevideo	4:0 ✺
17.08.25	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Montevideo City Torque - Boston River	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	5:2 ✺
29.06.25	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.03.25	Montevideo City Torque - Plaza Colonia	1:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.10.24	Plaza Colonia - Montevideo City Torque	2:1
09.07.24	Montevideo City Torque - Plaza Colonia	0:1
16.03.24	Plaza Colonia - Montevideo City Torque	0:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.11.23	Montevideo City Torque - Plaza Colonia	2:2
03.04.23	Plaza Colonia - Montevideo City Torque	1:2
12.10.22	Plaza Colonia - Montevideo City Torque	0:2

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