Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 10

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Boston United		Chester

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.8
	2.35	3.25	2.9
	2.52	3.05	3.01
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.41	3.18	2.85
	2.4	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)	3.11 ↓ (3.4)	2.9 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
38.6%

Draw
29.7%

Chester
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Boston United - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boston United won 1.

Recent matches Boston United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Boston United won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Boston United won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League North
09.09.23	Alfreton Town - Boston United	4:0 ✺
05.09.23	Darlington - Boston United	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Boston United - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
28.08.23	Bishops Stortford - Boston United	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Boston United - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLW
- Chester City
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Tadcaster Albion - Chester	1:3 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Chester - Blyth Spartans	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Chester - Hereford	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Spennymoor Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Chester - Farsley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
18.02.23	Chester - Boston United	1:0
29.10.22	Boston United - Chester	2:3
29.01.22	Boston United - Chester	4:0
06.11.21	Chester - Boston United	4:0
12.12.20	Boston United - Chester	0:0
03.08.19	Boston United - Chester	1:1
16.02.19	Chester - Boston United	4:1

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