Match Info

National League North - Round 19

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Hereford

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.9	3.55	3.5
	1.89	3.75	3.53
	1.78	3.85	3.93	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.65
	1.87	3.66	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.78)	3.64 ↓ (3.85)	3.59 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
49.3%

Draw
25.2%

Hereford
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chester - Hereford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Skinner A. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, Woods C. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.

In recent matches, Chester has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hereford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chester could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chester won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Chester - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.21%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
22.11.25	Chester - Leamington	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chester - Clitheroe	0:1 ✺
English National League North
11.11.25	Southport - Chester	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Buxton - Chester	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Chester - Marine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWT
- Hereford FC
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Sudbury Town - Hereford	1:5 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Hereford - Southport	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Oxford City - Hereford	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Fylde - Hereford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.04.25	Hereford - Chester	2:2
02.11.24	Chester - Hereford	3:0
20.02.24	Hereford - Chester	1:1
05.09.23	Chester - Hereford	1:2
28.02.23	Hereford - Chester	1:2
16.08.22	Chester - Hereford	0:1
19.02.22	Chester - Hereford	2:3

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