Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester) 🌤️ ...


	Chester		Farsley

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	5.75
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.5	4	6
	1.5	4.01	6.58
	1.53	3.91	6.38	Watch
	1.47	4.05	6.45
	1.5	3.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)	3.91 ↑ (3.84)	6.07 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
61.4%

Draw
23.5%

Farsley
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Chester - Farsley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', Woodthorpe N. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chester won 3.

Chester in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Farsley is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Farsley have a series of guest games.

In this match Chester is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chester to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chester won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Chester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Chester - Stockton Town	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Stockton Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	Rushall Olympic - Chester	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Chester - Hebburn Town	3:0 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Chester - South Shields	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWW
- Farsley AFC
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Wythenshawe Town - Farsley	0:1 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	Farsley - Leamington	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Needham Market - Farsley	0:1 ✺
03.09.24	Southport - Farsley	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Alfreton Town - Farsley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
17.02.24	Farsley - Chester	1:2
28.08.23	Chester - Farsley	2:0
15.04.23	Chester - Farsley	2:2
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Farsley - Chester	3:2 penalties
English National League North
22.11.22	Farsley - Chester	0:2
23.04.22	Chester - Farsley	1:0
21.08.21	Farsley - Chester	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
31.10.26	Chester - Hednesford Town	✺

Chester - Farsley