Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 26

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Jakemans Community Stadium (Boston)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Boston United		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	5.5
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.66	3.75	5
	1.65	3.74	5.22	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.4
	1.65	3.78	4.75
	1.66	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)	3.7 ↑ (3.53)	4.92 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
56.1%

Draw
25%

Ebbsfleet United
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.3%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

25.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boston United's performance.

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Boston United - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Users Predictions: Boston United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Donaghy T. (G) 25. Adshead D. 15. Gallagher O. 3. Green C. 9. Hazel J. 24. Hill D. 6. Leak T. 22. Maguire F. 12. Rowe J. (C) 7. Ward K. 16. Weston T.	1. Cousins M. (G) 28. Cosgrave A. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 45. Harriott C. 29. Kane T. 11. Moncur G. 24. Olagunju M. 2. O'Neil L. 39. Thomas K.
Substitutes
17. Aderoju O. 2. Coates K. 1. Gregory C. (G) 10. Marriott A. 21. Osborne S. 27. Scott J. 8. Woods M.	37. Aoraha A. 9. Bingham R. 32. Goddard F. (G) 36. Manktelow M. 21. Odokonyero N. 12. Samuel D. 33. Stewart A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Cosgrave A. ⚽,
30', Adshead D. ↓, Marriott A. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Marriott A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Harriott C. ↓, Aoraha A. ↑,
64', Ward K. ↓, Osborne S. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Osborne S. ⚽,
70', Thomas K. ↓, Samuel D. ↑,
78', O'Neil L. ↓, Bingham R. ↑,
78', Weston T. ↓, Coates K. ↑,
80', Maguire F. ↓, Woods M. ↑,
82', Edser T. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,
82', Domi F. 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Moncur G. ⚽,
89', Manktelow M. 🟨,
90+1', Green C. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Boston United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ebbsfleet has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ebbsfleet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boston United is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Boston United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Gateshead - Boston United	1:3 ✺
English National League
26.12.24	Boston United - Solihull Moors	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Forest Green Rovers - Boston United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Boston United - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
03.12.24	Boston United - Newcastle United U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLLWW
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League Cup
07.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - West Ham United U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
01.01.25	Ebbsfleet United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Southend United - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ebbsfleet United - Gateshead	1:4 ✺
14.12.24	Barnet - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.11.24	Ebbsfleet United - Boston United	0:0

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