The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ebbsfleet United 16.1%
Draw 19.9%
Gateshead 64%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
22.4%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.9%
21.9%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Ebbsfleet United - Gateshead Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 37. Aoraha A. 9. Bingham R. 5. Cordner T. 26. Dallison T. 38. Davies J. 16. Domi F. 2. O'Neil L. 3. Page L. 14. Poleon D. 27. Tanner C.
29. Mason O. (G) 14. Belehouan J. 8. Booty R. 18. Grayson J. 19. Hannant L. 23. Newton T. 9. Oseni O. 16. Radcliffe B. 10. Whelan C. 28. Williams J. 11. Worman B.
Substitutes
35. Anthony E. 30. Berry D. (G) 28. Cosgrave A. 36. Manktelow M. 23. Souare P. 19. Tanga J. 39. Thomas K.
12. Adom K. 30. Bassey O. (G) 34. Colkett Ch. 15. Humbles L. 46. Jones D. 45. Malcolm J. 2. Tinkler R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Whelan C. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Hannant L. (Pen),
45', Dallison T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Booty R. 🟨,
55', Hannant L. 🟨,
56', Page L. ↓, Souare P. ↑,
57', O'Neil L. ↓, Cosgrave A. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Oseni O. ⚽,
63', 0 - 4, Oseni O. ⚽,
63', Aoraha A. ↓, Manktelow M. ↑,
66', Oseni O. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
71', Domi F. ↓, Tanga J. ↑,
72', Bingham R. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
72', Worman B. ↓, Humbles L. ↑,
75', Souare P. 🟨,
82', Hannant L. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
82', Booty R. ↓, Colkett Ch. ↑,
86', 1 - 4, Cordner T. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 1.
Ebbsfleet has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gateshead is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ebbsfleet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Gateshead have a series of home games.
In this match Gateshead is indisputable favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.5:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).
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Cousins M. (G) 
Domi F. 
Poleon D. 
Mason O. (G) 
Berry D. (G) 
Souare P. 
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