Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	13:30	DAZN
Argentina	08:30	DAZN
Australia	21:30	DAZN
Austria	13:30	DAZN
Belarus	14:30	DAZN
Bolivia	07:30	DAZN
Brazil	08:30	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	14:30	DAZN
Canada	07:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	06:30	DAZN
Croatia	13:30	DAZN
Cyprus	14:30	DAZN
Czech Republic	13:30	DAZN
Denmark	13:30	DAZN
Ecuador	06:30	DAZN
Finland	14:30	DAZN
France	13:30	DAZN France
Germany	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	14:30	DAZN
Hong Kong	19:30	DAZN
Hungary	13:30	DAZN
India	17:00	DAZN
Indonesia	18:30	DAZN
Italy	13:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	17:30	DAZN
Latvia	14:30	DAZN
Lithuania	14:30	DAZN
Malaysia	19:30	DAZN
Mexico	05:30	DAZN
New Zealand	00:30	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	12:30	DAZN
North Macedonia	13:30	DAZN
Norway	13:30	DAZN
Paraguay	07:30	DAZN
Philippines	19:30	DAZN
Poland	13:30	DAZN
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App
Romania	14:30	DAZN
Russia	14:30	DAZN
Serbia	13:30	DAZN
Slovenia	13:30	DAZN
South Africa	13:30	DAZN
South Korea	20:30	DAZN
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	DAZN
Switzerland	13:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	19:30	DAZN
Thailand	18:30	DAZN
Ukraine	14:30	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	15:30	DAZN
United Kingdom	12:30	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	08:30	DAZN
Usa	07:30	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	16:30	DAZN
Venezuela	07:30	DAZN
Vietnam	18:30	DAZN


	Gateshead		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3
	2	3.5	2.95
	2.12	3.5	3.05
	2.24	3.64	3.04
	2.54	3.32	2.64	Watch
	2.13	3.46	3.11
	2.02	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.97)	3.49 ↓ (3.65)	2.96 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
42.5%

Draw
26.4%

Boston United
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Gateshead - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 20. John F. 6. Flint W. 26. Pani C. 22. Edwards C. 17. Home J. 10. Butterfield J. 3. Ferguson D. (C) 21. Hurst K. 32. Chapman H. 14. Nouble F.	1. Lovett R. (G) 32. Cropper J. 4. Teale C. 5. Mills Z. (C) 17. Lankshear A. 6. Sloggett G. 19. Richards J. 8. Hill D. 23. Hampson O. 15. Carson M. 14. John-Lewis L. N.
Substitutes
29. Blakey J. 35. Bone C. 2. Johnson C. 13. Leech P. (G) 38. Lish J. 16. Lowery L.	7. Coyle R. 11. Donnelly K. 2. Grist B. 16. Hiwula J. 21. Jones B. (G) 3. Kelly M. 10. Maguire F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Chapman H. ⚽,
41', Pani C. ↓, Lowery L. ↑,
45+2', Richards J. ↓, Maguire F. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 1, Maguire F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hampson O. ↓, Donnelly K. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Donnelly K. ⚽, Teale C. (A),
57', Edwards C. ↓, Bone C. ↑,
68', John-Lewis L. N. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Hiwula J. ⚽, Carson M. (A),
83', Nouble F. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
90+1', Cropper J. ↓, Grist B. ↑,
90+3', Hurst K. 🟨,
90+7', Lankshear A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Boston United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boston United has had a series of home games.

Gateshead will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gateshead - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.84%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
30.09.25	Morecambe - Gateshead	2:5 ✺
27.09.25	Braintree Town - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gateshead - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
17.09.25	Gateshead - Middlesbrough U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- Boston United
English National League
01.10.25	Boston United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Sutton United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Boston United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Boston United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Boston United - Sunderland U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.04.25	Boston United - Gateshead	2:1
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Gateshead - Boston United	1:3
English National League
24.09.24	Gateshead - Boston United	2:0
English National League North
19.03.22	Boston United - Gateshead	1:2
09.10.21	Gateshead - Boston United	3:1
25.07.20	Boston United - Gateshead	5:3
25.02.20	Boston United - Gateshead	0:3

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