Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gateshead		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3
	2	3.5	2.95
	2.12	3.5	3.05
	2.24	3.64	3.04
	2.54	3.32	2.64	Watch
	2.13	3.46	3.11
	2.02	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.97)	3.49 ↓ (3.65)	2.96 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
42.5%

Draw
26.4%

Boston United
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Gateshead - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 20. John F. 6. Flint W. 26. Pani C. 22. Edwards C. 17. Home J. 10. Butterfield J. 3. Ferguson D. (C) 21. Hurst K. 32. Chapman H. 14. Nouble F.	1. Lovett R. (G) 32. Cropper J. 4. Teale C. 5. Mills Z. (C) 17. Lankshear A. 6. Sloggett G. 19. Richards J. 8. Hill D. 23. Hampson O. 15. Carson M. 14. John-Lewis L. N.
Substitutes
29. Blakey J. 35. Bone C. 2. Johnson C. 13. Leech P. (G) 38. Lish J. 16. Lowery L.	7. Coyle R. 11. Donnelly K. 2. Grist B. 16. Hiwula J. 21. Jones B. (G) 3. Kelly M. 10. Maguire F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Chapman H. ⚽,
41', Pani C. ↓, Lowery L. ↑,
45+2', Richards J. ↓, Maguire F. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 1, Maguire F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hampson O. ↓, Donnelly K. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Donnelly K. ⚽, Teale C. (A),
57', Edwards C. ↓, Bone C. ↑,
68', John-Lewis L. N. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Hiwula J. ⚽, Carson M. (A),
83', Nouble F. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
90+1', Cropper J. ↓, Grist B. ↑,
90+3', Hurst K. 🟨,
90+7', Lankshear A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Boston United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boston United has had a series of home games.

Gateshead will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gateshead - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.84%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
30.09.25	Morecambe - Gateshead	2:5 ✺
27.09.25	Braintree Town - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gateshead - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
17.09.25	Gateshead - Middlesbrough U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- Boston United
English National League
01.10.25	Boston United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Sutton United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Boston United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Boston United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Boston United - Sunderland U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.04.25	Boston United - Gateshead	2:1
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Gateshead - Boston United	1:3
English National League
24.09.24	Gateshead - Boston United	2:0
English National League North
19.03.22	Boston United - Gateshead	1:2
09.10.21	Gateshead - Boston United	3:1
25.07.20	Boston United - Gateshead	5:3
25.02.20	Boston United - Gateshead	0:3

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