Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 21

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Boston United		Leamington

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	2	3.2	3.35
	2.03	3.3	3.3
	2.03	3.25	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.01	3.32	3.4
	2.03	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.78)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	3.37 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
45%

Draw
28.1%

Leamington
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boston United's form might have worsened.

Leamington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leamington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Boston United - Leamington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 17 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boston United won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Leamington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Boston United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Boston United won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Boston United won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League North
26.11.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Boston United	2:1 ✺
22.11.22	Fylde - Boston United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Tamworth - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Boston United - Blyth Spartans	3:0 ✺
08.11.22	Boston United - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW
- Leamington
English National League North
26.11.22	Leamington - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Leamington - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Chester - Leamington	1:1 ✺
08.11.22	Curzon Ashton - Leamington	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Leamington - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.03.22	Boston United - Leamington	1:1
11.09.21	Leamington - Boston United	2:0
06.10.20	Leamington - Boston United	0:4
13.08.19	Boston United - Leamington	1:0
19.01.19	Boston United - Leamington	1:1
07.08.18	Leamington - Boston United	2:0
17.02.18	Boston United - Leamington	0:1

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