Match Info

National League North - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Leamington

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.7	6
	1.47	4.05	6.1
	1.45	4.28	6.43	Watch
	1.46	3.84	6.5
	1.49	3.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	3.94 ↓ (4.01)	6.21 ↓ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
62.1%

Draw
23.2%

Leamington
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

22.8%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

20.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Leamington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chester that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Chester - Leamington Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Mottley-Henry D. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Jones P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.

Chester has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leamington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leamington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chester is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chester won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chester - Clitheroe	0:1 ✺
English National League North
11.11.25	Southport - Chester	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Buxton - Chester	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Chester - Marine	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Cambridge United - Chester	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWTL
- Leamington
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Leamington - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Leamington - Marine	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	King`s Lynn Town - Leamington	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Oxford City - Leamington	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	Leamington - Macclesfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
15.03.25	Chester - Leamington	1:0
14.01.25	Leamington - Chester	1:4
11.03.23	Leamington - Chester	0:0
12.11.22	Chester - Leamington	1:1
26.02.22	Leamington - Chester	3:0
04.12.21	Chester - Leamington	2:1
10.10.20	Chester - Leamington	3:2

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