Match Info

National League - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tamworth		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	3.10
	2.05	3.40	2.90
	2.15	3.55	2.95
	2.10	3.78	3.31
	2.11	3.68	3.1	Watch
	2.04	3.70	3.25
	2.06	3.70	3.19
	2.05	3.65	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.34)	3.63 ↑ (3.52)	3.12 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
44.8%

Draw
25.5%

Boston United
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

25.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamworth's performance.

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boston United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boston United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Tamworth - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Lovett R. (G) 12. Rye J. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 26. Hollis H. 11. Fairlamb L. 30. Roberts M. 8. Milnes B. (C) 6. Bramble T. 7. Acquaye B. 10. Donnelly K. 9. Creaney D.	13. Chadwick L. (G) 2. Sachdev S. 20. Rooney J. 6. Canavan N. (C) 23. Grimes J. 27. Mauro K. 28. Agyemang T. 9. Cursons T. 8. Holohan G. 11. Aboh K. 10. McBride C.
Substitutes
16. Calder R. 14. Dyson O. 23. Hutchinson J. 19. McGlinchey T. 5. Parkes T. 1. Singh J. (G) 20. Tshikuna N.	1. Faxon L. (G) 22. Hammond B. 7. Holmes J. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 3. Shipley L. 4. Teale C. 18. Wheeldon L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Fairlamb L. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Donnelly K. ⚽, Milnes B. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Grimes J. ⚽, Sachdev S. (A),
42', Donnelly K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Roberts M. ⚽,
60', Aboh K. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, John-Lewis L. N. ⚽, Sachdev S. (A),
75', McBride C. ↓, Wheeldon L. ↑,
75', Sachdev S. ↓, Teale C. ↑,
80', Agyemang T. 🟨,
83', Acquaye B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
83', Donnelly K. ↓, Calder R. ↑,
84', Roberts M. ↓, Tshikuna N. ↑,
90', Milnes B. ↓, Dyson O. ↑,
90+3', Cullinane-Liburd J. 🟨,
90+4', Canavan N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tamworth will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tamworth won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14
21	Boston Utd	13	3	3	7	15:23	-8	12

Last Results with these Odds

Boston United - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.06%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
31.08.26	Yeovil Town - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
English National League North
28.08.26	Tamworth - Worthing	3:2 ✺
English National League
22.08.26	Halifax Town - Tamworth	4:1 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Tamworth - Newcastle United U21	5:3 ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Tamworth - Fylde	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL
- Boston United
English National League North
31.08.26	Boston United - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
English National League
27.08.26	Boreham Wood - Boston United	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Boston United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Boston United - Birmingham City U21	2:3 ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Solihull Moors - Boston United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.02.26	Boston United - Tamworth	0:0
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Tamworth - Boston United	2:1 penalties
English National League
25.10.25	Tamworth - Boston United	1:3
18.01.25	Tamworth - Boston United	3:0
24.08.24	Boston United - Tamworth	1:1
English National League North
23.01.24	Tamworth - Boston United	0:0
15.08.23	Boston United - Tamworth	0:2

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