Match Info

National League - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Eastleigh		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.4	3.3	2.78
	2.25	3.61	3.02
	2.01	3.39	3.53	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.41	3.22	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.91)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	2.96 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
40.9%

Draw
28%

Boston United
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

23.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastleigh's form might have worsened.

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Eastleigh - Boston United Predictions

Users Predictions: Eastleigh will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eastleigh will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 11. Blair A. 2. Brindley R. 24. Cousins J. 6. Eweka T. 5. Fernandez L. 27. Harris A. 17. Lundstram J. 14. Massiah-Edwards Z. 16. Pierre A. 18. Waruih A.	1. Lovett R. (G) 7. Coyle R. 18. Fogarty T. 2. Grist B. 8. Hill D. 16. Hiwula J. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 17. Lankshear A. 19. Richards J. 6. Sloggett G. 4. Teale C.
Substitutes
21. Davis S. 7. Evans K. 23. Holzman L. 34. Ingram F. 22. McNamara J. (G) 8. Taylor J. 30. Underhill C.	33. Bradley B. 11. Donnelly K. 21. Jones B. (G) 3. Kelly M. 27. Norkett M. 22. Raikhy A. 12. Scott J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', John-Lewis L. N. 🟨,
45+4', Sloggett G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Cousins J. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
59', Massiah-Edwards Z. ↓, Ingram F. ↑,
64', Coyle R. ↓, Kelly M. ↑,
68', Hiwula J. ↓, Donnelly K. ↑,
70', Brindley R. ↓, Davis S. ↑,
70', Waruih A. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
74', Kelly M. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Blair A. (Pen),
82', Townsend N. 🟨,
83', Fogarty T. ↓, Norkett M. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Blair A. ⚽, Eweka T. (A),
90+4', Blair A. ↓, Underhill C. ↑,

Preview

Eastleigh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boston United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Eastleigh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Eastleigh has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Eastleigh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Boston United - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.85%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
20.08.25	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Eastleigh - Gateshead	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Brackley Town - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Farnborough - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Maidenhead United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- Boston United
English National League
19.08.25	Boston United - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Aldershot Town - Boston United	2:3 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Boston United - Leeds United U21	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Boston United - Middlesbrough U21	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Cleethorpes Town - Boston United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.02.25	Boston United - Eastleigh	1:2
26.10.24	Eastleigh - Boston United	1:1

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