Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jakemans Community Stadium (Boston) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	11:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Turkey	17:00	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
International	14:00	DAZN National League


	Boston United		Southend United

	1	X	2
	3.90	4.10	1.67
	3.80	3.90	1.66
	4.00	3.90	1.72
	4.33	4.36	1.71
	3.64	4.17	1.8	Watch
	4.05	4.30	1.69
	4.01	4.22	1.72
	4.10	4.10	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.84)	4.13 ↑ (3.95)	1.71 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
23.3%

Draw
22.4%

Southend United
54.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.2%

23.5%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22.8%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Boston United - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chadwick L. (G) 3. Shipley L. 4. Teale C. 20. Rooney J. 6. Canavan N. (C) 16. Sutton L. 9. Cursons T. 17. Gent G. 10. McBride C. 30. Pozo N. 15. Bostock O.	1. Duncan J. (G) 2. Daley-Campbell V. 6. Goodliffe B. 20. Cox D. 3. McAdam K. 14. Omochere P. 4. Hartigan A. 23. Popoola J. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 8. Oldaker D. 9. Cardwell H. (C)
Substitutes
28. Agyemang T. 1. Faxon L. (G) 23. Grimes J. 7. Holmes J. 8. Holohan G. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 18. Wheeldon L.	10. Austin S. 30. Barrett J. (G) 7. Kamara S. 18. Keogh S. 17. Massiah-Edwards 16. Taylor H. 11. Twamley L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Bostock O. ⚽, McBride C. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Omochere P. ⚽, Popoola J. (A),
38', Omochere P. ↓, Massiah-Edwards ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cardwell H. ↓, Twamley L. ↑,
47', Oldaker D. 🟨,
52', Cox D. 🟨,
64', Popoola J. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
65', Teale C. 🟨,
70', Goodliffe B. ↓, Taylor H. ↑,
70', Oldaker D. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
78', McBride C. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
78', Gent G. ↓, Wheeldon L. ↑,
78', Pozo N. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Kamara S. ⚽, McAdam K. (A),

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 20th and 3rd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Semi - finals).

Boston United has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Southend is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Southend is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Boston United has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Boston United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Southend	15	8	5	2	36:24	12	29
21	Boston Utd	15	4	3	8	19:28	-9	15

Outrights of English National League for now

Southend: 8.88%

Last Results with these Odds

Boston United - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 24.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Southend United - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.26%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League
03.10.26	Yeovil Town - Boston United	6:0 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Halifax Town - Boston United	1:1 ✺
English National League
26.09.26	Boston United - Fylde	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Forest Green Rovers - Boston United	1:3 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Boston United - Woking	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLWT
- Southend United
English National League
03.10.26	Southend United - Fylde	3:1 ✺
30.09.26	Eastleigh - Southend United	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Southend United - Barrow	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Gateshead - Southend United	1:6 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Southend United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.01.26	Boston United - Southend United	3:3
13.09.25	Southend United - Boston United	1:1
25.03.25	Boston United - Southend United	3:0
20.08.24	Southend United - Boston United	2:0

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