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Current Win Probability
Scunthorpe United 60.2%
Draw 21.1%
Derby County U21 18.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.8%
20.1%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
18.9%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Scunthorpe United - Derby County U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jones L. (G) 15. Ashbee S. 20. Bailey J. 44. Barrows R. 4. Belehouan J. 33. Denton T. 31. Gale J. 18. Hurst K. 12. Parker H. 19. Richards J. 21. Starbuck J.
1. Bilokapic N. (G) 7. Davidson J. 2. Gordon I. 8. Harvey R. 6. Hodges D. 11. Jones F. 4. Offor R. 9. Oguntolu J. 5. Osayande A. 3. Robinson K. 10. Smith C.
Substitutes
17. Batty D. 10. Brennan L. 25. Campbell M. (G) 7. Howe D. 9. Norwood J. 16. Sellars-Fleming T. 24. Shipstone H.
14. Banks L. 18. Corry S. 12. Crolla L. 13. Halliwell A. (G) 15. Mintus M. 16. Tola M. 17. Wilson C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gale J. ⚽, Parker H. (A),
17', Barrows R. 🟨,
17', Harvey R. 🟨,
20', Parker H. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
25', 2 - 0, Richards J. ⚽, Starbuck J. (A),
27', Robinson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Harvey R. ↓, Tola M. ↑,
46', Davidson J. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
46', Hurst K. ↓, Howe D. ↑,
46', Belehouan J. ↓, Shipstone H. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Wilson C. ⚽, Gordon I. (A),
62', Richards J. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
62', Denton T. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
69', Shipstone H. 🟨,
72', Gordon I. ↓, Corry S. ↑,
72', Offor R. ↓, Crolla L. ↑,
72', Smith C. ↓, Mintus M. ↑,
74', Gale J. 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Wilson C. ⚽, Corry S. (A),
90+4', Bilokapic N. 🟨,
90+5', Bailey J. 🟨,
90+5', Ashbee S. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Oguntolu J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Batty D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Wilson C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Brennan L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mintus M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Howe D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hodges D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Starbuck J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Jones F. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Bailey J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Robinson K. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Gale J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - National League Cup Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th).
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Derby U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Scunthorpe is considered the favorite to take the win.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Last Results with these Odds
Scunthorpe United - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
International
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Jones L. (G) 
Ashbee S. 
Belehouan J. 
Bilokapic N. (G) 
Corry S. 
Crolla L. 
Halliwell A. (G) 
Tola M. 
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