Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Botafogo PB		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.8
	2.5	3.05	2.6	Watch
	2.48	2.9	2.75
	2.6	3.05	2.73
	2.5	3	2.62
	2.52	3.2	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.05)	3.05 ↓ (3.32)	2.71 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
36.4%

Draw
29.9%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

19%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo PB's form might have worsened.

Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético de Alagoinhas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Alagoinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo PB - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Botafogo PB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Botafogo PB will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
09.02.22	Botafogo PB - São Paulo Crystal	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.02.22	Globo FC - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
03.02.22	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.01.22	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.01.22	Botafogo PB - Centro Sportivo Paraibano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTWLL
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.02.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - UNIRB	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
30.01.22	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
27.01.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.01.22	Altos - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.12.20	Botafogo PB - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:0
16.12.20	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Botafogo PB	1:1
Copa do Brasil
12.02.20	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Botafogo PB	0:0

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