Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 15

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	CS Alagoano		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	2.95	4.1
	1.92	2.9	4	Watch
	1.9	3.18	4.43
	1.61	3.42	6.24	Watch
	1.91	2.8	4.2
	1.9	2.99	4.19	Watch
	1.98	2.95	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.04)	3.03 ↑ (3.01)	4.36 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
48.9%

Draw
30.2%

Botafogo PB
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

30%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

30%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Felix (G) 21. Baianinho 5. Camacho (C) 6. Enzo 2. Felipe Albuquerque 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 50. Gustavo Nicola 4. Islan 7. Luciano Naninho 3. Luiz Gustavo 9. Tiago Marques	1. Michael (G) 99. Denilson 22. Erick 6. Felippe Borges 19. Gabriel Honorio 5. Gama 8. Igor Maduro 3. Renie (C) 11. Rodrigo Alves 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
18. Adiel 10. Brayann 22. Cavalleri M. 14. Diogo Batista 12. Georgemy (G) 19. Igor Bahia 13. Leo Costa 17. Marcelinho 16. Roberto 99. Robinho 20. Silas 15. Vander	26. Caio Garcia 10. Camilo 15. Cassio Gabriel 21. Guilherme Silveira 30. Gui Sales 28. Lucas Balardin 25. Luis Miguel 34. Marcelo Augusto 88. Silvinho 12. Wallace (G)
Coaches
Marcio Fernandes	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Islan 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Enzo ⚽,
43', Baianinho ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gama ↓, Cassio Gabriel ↑,
46', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Guilherme Silveira ↑,
46', Renie ↓, Marcelo Augusto ↑,
46', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
46', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Diogo Batista ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Cassio Gabriel ⚽,
53', Luciano Naninho ↓, Brayann ↑,
66', Denilson ↓, Silvinho ↑,
71', Camacho ↓, Silas ↑,
71', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
74', Silas 🟨,
87', Ynaia 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Enzo ⚽,
90+7', Gustavo Nicola 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSA won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

CSA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, CSA is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, CSA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, CSA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.25	Londrina - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
14.07.25	Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	CS Alagoano - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTTW
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
28.07.25	Botafogo PB - Brusque	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Ituano - Botafogo PB	0:3 ✺
13.07.25	Botafogo PB - Londrina	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Botafogo PB - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
30.06.25	Itabaiana - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
15.06.24	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	1:1
13.08.23	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.01.22	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	3:0
16.02.20	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	0:1
07.04.19	Botafogo PB - CS Alagoano	3:1
Brazilian Serie C
30.07.17	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	2:1
28.05.17	Botafogo PB - CS Alagoano	2:0

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