Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao) (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Botafogo PB		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.20
	2.08	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.21	3.1	3.47
	2.22	3.02	3.49	Watch
	2.16	2.75	3.4
	2.18	2.84	3.44
	2.06	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.41)	2.97 ↓ (3.18)	3.36 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
42.5%

Draw
30.5%

Guarani
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo PB - Guarani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 2. Diogo Mateus 7. Dudu Hatamoto 9. Henrique Dourado 14. Igor Morais 28. Lucas Candido 10. Nene (C) 6. Patric Calmon 20. Thallyson 3. Yan Souto	1. Caique Franca (C) 20. Dudu Marques 6. Emerson Barbosa 27. Herbert 21. Isaque 10. Joao Paulo 95. Jonathan Costa 66. Kaua Jesus 55. Luis Otavio 99. Maranhao 2. Mauricio Antonio
Substitutes
30. Alves L. M. 16. Bull 25. Caio Garcia 11. Diego Tavares 31. Gustavo 17. Jonas Toro 33. Julio Vaz 15. Kayon 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 22. Leo Pereira 35. Octavio 4. Saimon	15. Carlos Eduardo 9. Lucca 77. Mateus Claus (G) 18. Matheus Guilherme 8. Nathan Melo 97. Neto Costa 45. Rafael Freitas 4. Raphael 26. Renan Castro 3. Willian Farias
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Sizenando E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Joao Paulo ⚽,
45+2', Lucas Candido 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Lucas Candido ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Bastos R. ⚽,
65', Isaque ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
65', Herbert ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
65', Maranhao ↓, Lucca ↑,
66', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Kayon ↑,
67', Bastos R. ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
67', Henrique Dourado ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
69', Luis Otavio 🟨,
71', Patric Calmon 🟨,
76', Diogo Mateus ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
76', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
78', Luis Otavio ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Nene ⚽,
81', Lucas Candido ↓, Caio Garcia ↑,
83', Kaua Jesus ↓, Rafael Freitas ↑,
90', Willian Farias 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Botafogo PB is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guarani has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Botafogo PB might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo PB - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.28%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
15.08.26	Amazonas - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Caxias - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Botafogo PB - Confiança	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Anápolis - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTWWW
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.26	Guarani - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
10.08.26	Anápolis - Guarani	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Guarani - Internacional de Limeira	3:1 ✺
12.07.26	Paysandu - Guarani	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Guarani - Floresta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
04.05.25	Guarani - Botafogo PB	2:1

Upcoming Matches