Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu) (Belem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paysandu		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.20	2.80
	2.30	3.35	2.90	Watch
	2.25	3.40	3.15
	2.46	3.25	2.81	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.00
	2.26	3.36	3.05
	2.23	3.10	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	2.94 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
40.5%

Draw
28.1%

Guarani
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Paysandu - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 31. Bonifazi F. 14. Bruno Bispo 8. Caio Mello 2. Edilson 98. Juninho 75. Kleiton Pego 10. Marcinho (C) 44. Pedro Carrerette 39. Pedro Henrique 19. Thayllon	1. Caique Franca (C) 15. Carlos Eduardo 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 27. Herbert 66. Kaua Jesus 99. Maranhao 2. Mauricio Antonio 5. Rafael Donato 26. Renan Castro 3. Willian Farias 30. Ynaia
Substitutes
23. Brian Macapa 5. Henrico 9. Italo Carvalho 1. Jean Drosny (G) 94. Kaua Hinkel 4. larley Brito 26. Libonati 99. Lucas Cardoso 77. Luciano Taboca 20. Matheus Capixaba 80. Pablo 25. Tiago Indio	6. Emerson Barbosa 23. Everton Brito 21. Isaque 19. Kewen 9. Lucca 70. Mateus Claus (G) 45. Rafael Freitas 61. Ralf 4. Raphael 22. Rian
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Sizenando E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Herbert ⚽,
21', 🟨,
26', Bruno Bispo 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, Mauricio Antonio ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kleiton Pego ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
46', Thayllon ↓, Pablo ↑,
46', Bonifazi F. ↓, Luciano Taboca ↑,
46', Herbert 🟨,
51', Lucas Cardoso 🟨,
56', Caio Mello 🟨,
60', Marcinho (Penalty Awarded),
63', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Emerson Barbosa ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Luciano Taboca ⚽,
71', Pablo 🟨,
76', Caio Mello ↓, Italo Carvalho ↑,
76', Renan Castro ↓, Ralf ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Italo Carvalho ⚽,
84', Kaua Jesus ↓, Rafael Freitas ↑,
84', Maranhao ↓, Lucca ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Bruno Bispo ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+4', Marcinho ↓, Tiago Indio ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guarani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
05.07.26	Ypiranga - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandu - Santa Cruz Recife	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Maranhão - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Paysandu - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
07.06.26	Paysandu - Anápolis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
04.07.26	Guarani - Floresta	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Figueirense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
22.06.26	Confiança - Guarani	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Guarani - Caxias	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Guarani - Amazonas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.09.24	Paysandu - Guarani	2:1
25.05.24	Guarani - Paysandu	0:0

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