The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Serra Branca 54.2%
Draw 27%
Nacional de Patos 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
25.8%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
24.9%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra Branca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Nacional de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Serra Branca - Nacional de Patos Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Nacional de Patos (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional de Patos (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Fuso (G) 23. Bruno 9. Gustavo 11. Ian Augusto 14. Jadson 5. Junior Dinde 13. Luiz 10. Marcelo Toscano 7. Pedro Vitor B. d. S. 8. Venicio 4. Victor Ferraz (C)
12. Allan (G) 15. Bedeu 25. Bilao 22. Charles 20. David Peninha 19. Diego Ceara 16. do Nascimento Sousa J. K. 6. Franca 2. Igor 18. Jefferson Victor 3. Julio 17. Sousa Tibiri
22. Clebson 7. De Araujo F. 10. Felipe Araujo 13. Gustavo 5. Guto 19. Max Nobrega 30. Paulo Victor (G) 16. Riquelme 4. Tulio 20. Vitinho
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Pingo (Penalty Awarded),
23', Abnner Oliveira 🟨,
28', Negrito 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Junior Dinde ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Renan ↓, Guto ↑,
46', Pedro Vitor B. d. S. ↓, Jefferson Victor ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Jadson ⚽,
60', Victor Ferraz ↓, Igor ↑,
60', Marcelo Toscano ↓, Diego Ceara ↑,
62', Tadeu ↓, Felipe Araujo ↑,
62', Rodriguinho ↓, Riquelme ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Felipe Araujo ⚽,
69', 🟨,
75', Gustavo ↓, David Peninha ↑,
75', Venicio ↓, Bedeu ↑,
76', Abnner Oliveira ↓, Clebson ↑,
76', Negrito ↓, De Araujo F. ↑,
90+1', Riquelme 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
Serra Branca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Nacional de Patos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Serra Branca is a strong favorite.
We predict that Serra Branca will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Serra Branca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Serra Branca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Brazil
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