The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Campinense 45.3%
Draw 29.2%
Serra Branca 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
29%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
30.3%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Campinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Serra Branca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Campinense - Serra Branca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wallace (G) 2. Augusto Potiguar 8. Emerson Silva 3. Erik Henrique 10. Everton Heleno 6. Fernando Junior 4. Franklin 11. Joaozinho 9. Miguel Souza 5. Patrik 7. Vitinho
1. Bruno Fuso (G) 23. Bruno 8. David Peninha 9. Gustavo 11. Ian Augusto 14. Jadson 5. Junior Dinde 13. Luiz 10. Marcelo Toscano 7. Venicio 4. Victor Ferraz
Substitutes
. Ales Barros 12. Carlao (G) 20. Elicley 14. Gabriel Yanno 26. Gean Junior 27. Joesley 18. Kaue . Lucas Martins 19. Lucio Maranhao 16. Matheus Silva 17. Pedrinho 15. Yuri Pedral
12. Allan (G) 15. Bedeu 22. Bilao 19. Charles 16. do Nascimento Sousa J. K. 6. Franca 2. Igor 18. Jefferson Victor 3. Julio 21. Maicon 20. Pedro Victor 17. Sousa Tibiri
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Venicio 🟨,
34', Augusto Potiguar 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Gustavo 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Augusto Potiguar ⚽,
65', Fernando Junior ↓, Barros A. ↑,
65', Joaozinho ↓, Lucio Maranhao ↑,
75', 🟨,
77', Patrik ↓, Matheus Silva ↑,
79', Ian Augusto ↓, Maicon ↑,
79', David Peninha ↓, Charles ↑,
79', Venicio ↓, Bedeu ↑,
83', Everton Heleno ↓, Kaue ↑,
87', 🟨,
89', Gustavo ↓, Jefferson Victor ↑,
89', Charles ↓, Franca ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Campinense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Serra Branca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Campinense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Campinense might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Campinense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Campinense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.