Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	São Bernardo		Anápolis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	3.5	6.75
				Watch
	1.49	3.65	7.45
				Watch
	1.57	3.1	6.5
	1.43	3.55	8.5	Watch
	1.64	3.15	5.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	3.39 ↓ (3.8)	7 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
60.1%

Draw
26.9%

Anápolis
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

24.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

23.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

São Bernardo - Anápolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Anápolis will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Junior Oliveira (G) 32. Bastos R. 26. Dudu Miraima 11. Felipe Azevedo 35. Foguinho 3. Helder Maciel (C) 95. Para 59. Pedro Felipe 4. Rafael Forster 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 17. Romisson	1. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Andre 23. Caxambu 2. Fabio 19. Jefinho 11. Joao Felipe 77. Johnatan Cardoso 30. Lucao 8. Paulinho (C) 6. Rafael Verrone 28. Samuel
Substitutes
6. Arthur Henrique 7. Echapora 20. Emerson Santos 90. Felipe Garcia 21. Hugo Sanches 28. Joao Paulo 13. Matheus Salustiano 25. Pedro Carrerette 30. Sillas 75. Valencia J. 84. Vanderlei (G) 31. Victor Andrade	18. Fernandinho 31. Gabriel (G) 3. Igor Souza 41. Joao Borim 9. Joao Celeri 20. Neto Acara 32. Rafael Mineiro 22. Rubinho 10. Talison
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Gabardo Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Bastos R. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Dudu Miraima ⚽,
27', Dudu Miraima ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
31', 3 - 0, Pedro Felipe ⚽,
39', Caxambu ↓, Rafael Mineiro ↑,
45+1', Samuel 🟨,
45+1', Samuel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jefinho ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
52', Foguinho 🟨,
58', Romisson ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
58', Foguinho ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
58', Bastos R. ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
61', Para 🟨,
67', Kadu ↓, Joao Celeri ↑,
67', Paulinho ↓, Igor Souza ↑,
78', Joao Felipe ↓, Talison ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, São Bernardo is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.25	Ituano - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
02.06.25	São Bernardo - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
26.05.25	Brusque - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	São Bernardo - Caxias	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Guarani - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWW
- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.25	Anápolis - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Tombense - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	ABC - Anápolis	3:3 ✺
10.05.25	Anápolis - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTTTT

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