Match Info

Date: 17 July 2021, Saturday


	Brusque		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.85	2.35
	2.95	2.85	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3	2.4
	3.15	3.11	2.54
	3	3	2.37
	2.9	3.32	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.41 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
31%

Draw
30.6%

Botafogo RJ
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

30.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

22.1%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Brusque have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brusque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brusque - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Brusque is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Botafogo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Botafogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
14.07.21	Remo - Brusque	2:1 ✺
11.07.21	Brusque - CS Alagoano	2:3 ✺
04.07.21	Guarani - Brusque	4:1 ✺
30.06.21	Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Vasco da Gama - Brusque	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie B
10.07.21	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	3:3 ✺
06.07.21	CRB Maceio - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
03.07.21	Avaí - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
30.06.21	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
26.06.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWL

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