Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 25

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: da Silva Machado B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Botafogo RJ		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	7	Watch
	1.57	3.8	6.25
	1.57	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.95	7.45
	1.5	3.75	7
	1.55	3.85	6.35	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.55)	3.81 ↓ (4.02)	6.68 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
61.1%

Draw
24.8%

Goiás
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.9%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

Botafogo RJ - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: Botafogo RJ will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lucas Perri (G) 6. Tche Tche 34. Adryelson 15. Victor Cuesta (C) 16. Hugo 17. Marlon Freitas 14. Gabriel Pires 33. Carlos Eduardo 37. Junior Santos 19. Costa D. 7. Victor Sa	23. Tadeu (C) 2. Maguinho 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 66. Hugo 12. Willian Oliveira 40. Everton Morelli 60. Guilherme 77. Allano 45. Joao Magno 70. Anderson Oliveira
Substitutes
23. Bastos 27. Carlos Alberto 5. Danilo 24. Di Placido L. 1. Gatito Fernandez (G) 39. Janderson 57. JP Galvao 18. Lucas Fernandes 11. Luis Henrique 94. Philipe Sampaio 10. Segovia M. 9. Tiquinho Soares	27. Alesson 22. Apodi 13. Bruno Santos 11. Diego Goncalves 43. Edu 5. Guzzo R. 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 9. Matheus Babi 8. Meritao H. 95. Rodrigues Adelino dos Santos V. 4. Sidimar 7. Vinicius
Coaches
Lage B.	Evangelista A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 1.

Botafogo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Goiás is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Botafogo is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Botafogo: Marcal (Red Card) Patrick de Paula (Knee Injury) Rafael (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Goiás: Gabriel Novaes (Injury) Sander (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
22.09.23	Corinthians - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.08.23	Defensa y Justicia - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Bahia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.23	Goiás - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
15.09.23	Palmeiras - Goiás	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Goiás - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Corinthians - Goiás	1:1 ✺
21.08.23	Goiás - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
14.05.23	Goiás - Botafogo RJ	2:1
28.09.22	Goiás - Botafogo RJ	0:1
06.06.22	Botafogo RJ - Goiás	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
26.10.21	Goiás - Botafogo RJ	1:1
20.07.21	Botafogo RJ - Goiás	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
13.02.21	Goiás - Botafogo RJ	2:0
19.10.20	Botafogo RJ - Goiás	0:0

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