Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 9

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Rufino W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Russia	Okko Sport
Usa	Fanatiz


	Botafogo RJ		Madureira

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.09	8.5
				Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)	4.09 ↓ (4.7)	8.5 ↓ (10.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
67.3%

Draw
22.1%

Madureira
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

19.8%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Madureira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Botafogo RJ - Madureira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Leo Linck (G) 13. Alex Telles (C) 5. Danilo Barbosa 57. David Ricardo 19. Kayke 28. Newton 6. Patrick de Paula 4. Ponte M. 69. Rafael Lobato 63. Serafim 67. Yarlen	31. Mota (G) 2. Caua Coutinho 22. Celsinho 6. Felipe C. 11. Fuba 4. Jean 9. Jefferson Victor 3. Marcao 10. Marcelo (C) 8. Wagninho 7. Wallace
Substitutes
20. Barboza A. 80. Bernardo Valim 66. Cuiabano 26. Gregore 99. Igor Jesus 53. Kaua Branco 59. Kauan Toledo 18. Kaue 17. Marlon Freitas 11. Matheus Martins 1. Raul Steffens (G) 37. Vitinho	14. Arthur Edeson 13. da Silva Freire M. V. 15. Evandro 19. Geovane Maranhao 23. Isaias 16. Lucas Paraiba 17. Minho 21. Pablo 20. Renato Henrique 5. Rodrigo Lindoso 18. Welington Zaru 1. Yan (G)
Coaches
Carlos Leiria	Neri D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Marcelo ↓, Rodrigo Lindoso ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Wagninho ⚽, Fuba (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
46', Yarlen ↓, Vitinho ↑,
49', Jean 🟨,
58', Rodrigo Lindoso 🟨,
58', Fuba ↓, Minho ↑,
58', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
64', Patrick de Paula ↓, Kaua Branco ↑,
72', Rafael Lobato ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
80', Jefferson Victor ↓, Geovane Maranhao ↑,
80', Felipe C. ↓, Evandro ↑,
80', Wallace ↓, Lucas Paraiba ↑,
83', Serafim ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Caua Coutinho ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Botafogo have a series of home games.

In this match Botafogo is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:6 (average 1.9:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
06.02.25	Nova Iguaçu - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Supercopa do Brasil
02.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
29.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL
- Madureira EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
06.02.25	Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1 ✺
03.02.25	Madureira - Maricá	1:0 ✺
30.01.25	Boavista - Madureira	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Madureira - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
23.01.25	Vasco da Gama - Madureira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
17.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Madureira	1:0
26.01.23	Botafogo RJ - Madureira	2:0
03.02.22	Botafogo RJ - Madureira	4:2
31.03.21	Botafogo RJ - Madureira	1:1
21.01.20	Madureira - Botafogo RJ	2:0
11.03.19	Botafogo RJ - Madureira	2:1
03.02.18	Botafogo RJ - Madureira	0:0

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