Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 3

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Correia B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere


	Botafogo RJ		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.95	6.5
	1.45	4.25	7	Watch
	1.44	3.5	7
	1.42	3.78	7.6
	1.5	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.81)	3.9 ↑ (3.36)	7.02 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
63.2%

Draw
23.7%

Volta Redonda
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ's performance.

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volta Redonda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Botafogo (1.62) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botafogo RJ will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 9 - 90%). Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Leo Linck (G) 2. Vitinho 4. Ponte M. 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles (C) 25. Allan 8. Montoro A. 28. Newton 35. Danilo 7. Artur 98. Arthur Cabral	1. Avelino (G) 2. Wellington Silva 14. Rafael Castro 5. Bruno Barra (C) 3. Lucas Adell 8. Dener 7. Marquinhos 17. Wagninho 10. PK 11. MV 9. Ygor Catatau
Substitutes
14. Barrera J. 15. Bastos 21. Marcal 11. Matheus Martins 16. Nathan Fernandes 22. Neto (G) 1. Raul Steffens (G) 23. Rodriguez S.	13. Alan 19. Blanco O. 29. Caetano 12. Deivity (G) 23. Faria J. 45. Guilherme Nunes (G) 21. Henrique Silva 26. Joao Valenca 30. Juninho Monteiro 20. Kaua Uba 27. Mizael Monteiro 25. Pinto L.
Coaches
Anselmi M.	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Barboza A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wellington Silva ↓, Alan ↑,
51', Dener 🟨,
62', Allan ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
63', Artur ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Montoro A. ⚽, Rodriguez S. (A),
69', PK 🟨,
72', Arthur Cabral ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
72', Alex Telles ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
72', PK ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
78', Dener ↓, Joao Valenca ↑,
78', Marquinhos ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
80', Newton ↓, Marcal ↑,
88', Montoro A. 🟨,
90+1', MV 🟨,
90+2', Ponte M. 🟨,
90+3', Wagninho ↓, Kaua Uba ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.

Recent performances by Botafogo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Botafogo is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.31%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Portuguesa RJ - Botafogo RJ	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza	4:2 ✺
04.12.25	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Corinthians - Botafogo RJ	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
17.01.26	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Volta Redonda - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.11.25	Vila Nova - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Volta Redonda - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Athletico Paranaense - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	1:2
14.02.24	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	0:3
19.01.23	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	1:2
07.03.22	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	5:0
10.04.21	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	2:2
18.01.20	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	1:0
02.03.19	Volta Redonda - Botafogo RJ	1:0

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