Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Botafogo RJ U20		Sampaio Corrêa FE U20

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.20	8.75
	1.31	4.25	8.2
	1.3	4.55	8.05
	1.33	4.57	8.35
	1.29	4.5	7.95
	1.37	4.33	8.45
	1.32	4.3	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.46)	4.39 ↑ (4)	8.25 ↑ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ U20
68.4%

Draw
20.6%

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.9%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ U20's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Botafogo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Botafogo U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Botafogo U20 is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Botafogo U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sampaio Correa FE U20	9	4	2	3	12:17	-5	14
5	Botafogo U20	8	4	1	3	15:11	4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ U20 - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 62.85%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
27.08.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Madureira U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.07.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Santos U20	1:0 ✺
08.07.26	Santos U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	4:1 ✺
01.07.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWLW
- Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
29.08.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Volta Redonda U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Maricá U20	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Bangu U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Madureira U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
28.08.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	3:1
04.08.24	Botafogo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	1:3

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