Match Info

Date: 7 August 2021, Saturday


	Botafogo SP		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	1.32	4	11.5
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.31	4.3	8.8
	1.46	3.5	7.66
	1.28	4.33	9.5
	1.37	4.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.01)	3.92 ↑ (3.07)	8.33 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
65.2%

Draw
23.7%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

30.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

23.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paraná Clube Curitiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paraná Clube Curitiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.4%	2.3%	9.3%

Botafogo SP - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Users Predictions: Botafogo SP will win (38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.79% – 97.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo SP is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie C
01.08.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Botafogo SP	4:2 ✺
25.07.21	Botafogo SP - Ituano	2:1 ✺
17.07.21	Figueirense - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
12.07.21	Botafogo SP - Criciúma	3:1 ✺
03.07.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWL
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie C
02.08.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
23.07.21	Osasco Sporting - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1 ✺
19.07.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
10.07.21	Mirassol - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:3 ✺
04.07.21	Criciúma - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.06.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Botafogo SP	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
04.01.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Botafogo SP	1:1
02.10.20	Botafogo SP - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0
29.11.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Botafogo SP	3:3
27.08.19	Botafogo SP - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1

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