Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)


	Botafogo SP		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.95
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.27	3.1	3
	2.15	3.11	3.5
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.24	3.16	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.45)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.12 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
40.8%

Draw
29.9%

São Caetano
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Botafogo SP - São Caetano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). São Caetano will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Botafogo SP will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie C
11.09.22	Botafogo SP - Aparecidense	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.09.22	São Caetano - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.09.22	Aparecidense - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.22	Botafogo SP - Marília	1:3 ✺
30.08.22	Comercial SP - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLW
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.09.22	São Caetano - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Portuguesa - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	São Caetano - Água Santa	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	São Caetano - CA Juventus	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	EC São Bernardo - São Caetano	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.09.22	São Caetano - Botafogo SP	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.04.21	Botafogo SP - São Caetano	1:1
05.02.19	Botafogo SP - São Caetano	3:0
08.03.18	São Caetano - Botafogo SP	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
16.10.15	São Caetano - Botafogo SP	0:0
11.10.15	Botafogo SP - São Caetano	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.03.13	São Caetano - Botafogo SP	0:1

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