Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)


	Botafogo SP		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.96	3	3.75
	2.14	3.05	3.7
	1.91	2.88	3.8
	1.88	3.16	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.77)	3.05 ↓ (3.24)	3.78 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
46.4%

Draw
29.7%

Aparecidense
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

27.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Botafogo SP - Aparecidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Play Offs) and 4).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Botafogo SP have a series of guest games.

Botafogo SP will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.09.22	São Caetano - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.09.22	Aparecidense - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.22	Botafogo SP - Marília	1:3 ✺
30.08.22	Comercial SP - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
27.08.22	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWL
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
04.09.22	Aparecidense - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
29.08.22	Volta Redonda - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Aparecidense - Mirassol	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Aparecidense - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Remo - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
04.09.22	Aparecidense - Botafogo SP	1:3
13.06.22	Botafogo SP - Aparecidense	0:2

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