Match Info

Date: 30 August 2022, Tuesday


	Comercial SP		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.75
	2.48	2.85	2.82
	2.44	3	2.75
	2.62	2.85	2.9
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.52	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.78 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comercial SP
36.6%

Draw
30.6%

Botafogo SP
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

30.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Comercial SP - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Comercial SP will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Comercial SP is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Comercial SP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Comercial SP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Copa Paulista
20.08.22	Marília - Comercial SP	0:0 ✺
06.08.22	Comercial SP - Sertãozinho	0:1 ✺
30.07.22	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	3:3 ✺
26.07.22	Botafogo SP - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Comercial SP - Marília	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLTLL
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie C
27.08.22	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
22.08.22	Botafogo SP - Sertãozinho	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
21.08.22	Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.08.22	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
13.08.22	Botafogo SP - Remo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.07.22	Botafogo SP - Comercial SP	1:0
12.10.21	Comercial SP - Botafogo SP	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.03.14	Botafogo SP - Comercial SP	1:0

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