Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - ROUND 9

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: De Oliveira F. (Bra)


	Botafogo SP		São Bento

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.2	4
	1.85	3.05	4.5
	2.01	2.95	4.54
	2	3	3.6
	1.97	3.24	3.86	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)	3.08 ↑ (2.83)	3.99 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
46.9%

Draw
30%

São Bento
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

32.2%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

30.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Botafogo SP - São Bento Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). São Bento will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 3.

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Bento is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Botafogo SP will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.02.23	Ferroviária - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
08.02.23	Botafogo SP - Ituano	2:3 ✺
05.02.23	Corinthians - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Botafogo SP - Guarani	3:2 ✺
25.01.23	Santo André - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWT
- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.02.23	São Bento - Guarani	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Santos - São Bento	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	São Bento - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	São Bernardo - São Bento	2:0 ✺
26.01.23	São Bento - Internacional de Limeira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.05.21	Botafogo SP - São Bento	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
13.09.19	Botafogo SP - São Bento	1:0
09.05.19	São Bento - Botafogo SP	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.01.19	Botafogo SP - São Bento	1:1
18.02.18	São Bento - Botafogo SP	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
13.08.17	Botafogo SP - São Bento	0:2
12.06.17	São Bento - Botafogo SP	0:0

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