Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - ROUND 6

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Corinthians		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.33	9.25
	1.36	4.4	8
	1.48	3.6	5.6
	1.34	4.69	9.79
	1.32	3.9	10
	1.35	4.4	9.3
	1.34	4.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.5)	4.22 ↑ (3.62)	8.51 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
67.4%

Draw
21.8%

Botafogo SP
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

24.8%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corinthians's performance.

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Corinthians - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 4.

Corinthians is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Corinthians is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
29.01.23	São Paulo - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
24.01.23	Corinthians - Guarani	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Internacional de Limeira - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
18.01.23	Corinthians - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWL
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.01.23	Botafogo SP - Guarani	3:2 ✺
25.01.23	Santo André - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Botafogo SP - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
19.01.23	Botafogo SP - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Portuguesa - Botafogo SP	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.02.22	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	1:1
23.01.20	Corinthians - Botafogo SP	4:1
24.02.19	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	0:1
11.03.18	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	0:2
09.04.17	Corinthians - Botafogo SP	1:0
01.04.17	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	0:0
13.03.16	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	0:3

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