The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo SP 39.6%
Draw 34.3%
Guarani 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
29.3%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
30.7%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
The chances for Guarani have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
35.7%
7.1%
Botafogo SP - Guarani Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Joao Carlos (G) 3. Raphael 5. Ericson 4. Bernardo Schappo 2. Thassio 7. Abdulai S. 8. Gustavo Bochecha (C) 6. Jean Victor 10. Felipinho 9. Alex Sandro 11. Victor Andrade
1. Pegorari (G) 28. Pacheco 23. Douglas Bacelar 13. Matheus Salustiano (C) 6. Emerson 5. Anderson Leite 33. Gabriel Bispo 18. Matheus Bueno 10. Luan Dias 99. Caio Dantas 19. Joao Victor
Substitutes
20. Alexandre Jesus 23. Arthur Mosca 19. Bruno Marques 15. Carlos Manuel 14. Fabio Sanches 18. Fillipe Soutto 21. Jonas Toro 12. Michael (G) 17. Negueba 16. Patrick Brey 22. Ronald Camarao 13. Wallison
11. Estevao 2. Heitor 17. Jefferson 39. Lohan 12. Lucas Adell 21. Lucas Araujo 7. Marcelinho 77. Marlon Maranhao 3. Matheus Mancini 47. Pierre 20. Reinaldo 89. Vladimir (G)
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi
Aal A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Caio Dantas ⚽, Joao Victor (A),
19', 1 - 1, Alex Sandro ⚽,
44', Bernardo Schappo 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Caio Dantas (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Raphael ↓, Carlos Manuel ↑,
46', Thassio ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
56', Felipinho ↓, Negueba ↑,
59', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
64', Ericson 🟨,
68', Anderson Leite ↓, Heitor ↑,
69', Gustavo Bochecha ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
69', Alex Sandro ↓, Bruno Marques ↑,
73', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Lucas Araujo ↑,
74', Joao Victor ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
80', Marcelinho 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Victor Andrade (Pen),
85', Luan Dias 🟨,
90+4', Emerson 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 2, Alexandre Jesus ⚽, Jean Victor (A),
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 3.
Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Guarani is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Guarani: Bruno Mendes
(Injury)
Camacho
(Injury)
Marcio Silva
(Injury)
Vinicius Kaue
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Watch
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Abdulai S. 
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