Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Hristo Botev (Plovdiv)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Portugal	Canal 11
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Botev Plovdiv		Maribor

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.63	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.85
	2.45	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.54	3.25	2.88
	2.46	3.41	2.74	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.7
	2.5	3.44	2.75	Watch
	2.47	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.44)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	2.76 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Plovdiv
38.6%

Draw
27.6%

Maribor
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Maribor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Botev Plovdiv - Maribor Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). Maribor will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maribor: 66.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Igonen M. (G) 17. Minkov N. 5. Tamm J. 19. Conte A. 38. Balogiannis K. 15. Eto'o J. 20. Perera A. 40. Nwachukwu C. 10. Popov I. (C) 7. Akere S. 11. Ujah A.	1. Jug A. (G) 5. Sirvys P. 50. Vidmar L. 25. Karic S. 22. Milec M. (C) 20. Repas Z. 15. Repas J. 2. Soudani El A. 72. Ilicic J. 10. Barisic M. 17. Jakupovic A.
Substitutes
1. Bernat C. (G) 27. Diabate S. 3. Emmanuel U. 21. Iliev N. 22. Kajzer D. (G) 28. Karabelyov Y. 88. Korosec A. 16. Remeikis M. 9. Sekulic M. 42. Videv I. 6. Yordanov A.	81. Bergsen M. (G) 13. Beugre E. 35. Bilac M. A. 11. Bourles R. 8. Bozic M. 48. Dizdarevic A. 7. Feta B. 16. Grlic N. 24. Kolar M. 55. Lorber M. 6. Mbondo B. 12. Sikosek G.
Coaches
Kerkez D.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Ujah A. ⚽, Popov I. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Sirvys P. ⚽, Repas J. (A),
30', Karic S. 🟨,
30', Repas Z. 🟨,
43', Nwachukwu C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Soudani El A. ↓, Beugre E. ↑,
46', Tamm J. ↓, Diabate S. ↑,
55', Balogiannis K. 🟨,
59', Repas J. 🟨,
60', Barisic M. ↓, Bozic M. ↑,
71', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Iliev N. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Iliev N. ⚽, Ujah A. (A),
76', Repas Z. ↓, Feta B. ↑,
78', Minkov N. 🟨,
81', Akere S. ↓, Yordanov A. ↑,
85', Jakupovic A. ↓, Bourles R. ↑,
89', Popov I. ↓, Korosec A. ↑,
89', Ujah A. ↓, Sekulic M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Botev Plovdiv is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maribor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botev Plovdiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Maribor have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Plovdiv
Club Friendly
22.06.24	Botev Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.05.24	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	0:1 ✺
23.05.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	3:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
15.05.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLLW
- NK Maribor
Club Friendly
04.07.24	Maribor - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:1 ✺
04.07.24	Maribor - Rapid Bucureşti	0:4 ✺
28.06.24	Maribor - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:2 ✺
25.06.24	Maribor - Budućnost Podgorica	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Maribor - Spartak Trnava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTWW

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