The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slavia Sofia 39.6%
Draw 28.8%
Botev Plovdiv 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
28.6%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
27.9%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slavia Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slavia Sofia's performance.
Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botev Plovdiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slavia Sofia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botev Plovdiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
36.4%
9.1%
Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Slavia Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Slavia Sofia: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ntumba L. (G) 87. Diego 4. Savic N. 24. Marin L. 20. Semedo J. 5. Shopov G. 73. Minchev I. (C) 77. Stoev E. 13. Stefanov I. 18. Balov K. 10. Guermouche Y.
29. Naumov D. (G) 17. Minkov N. 4. Soldo N. 19. Conte A. 41. Tindano Z. 45. Martinho da Silva E. 77. Lucas Araujo 88. Chimezie W. 8. Nedelev T. (C) 90. Kalu S. 13. Tsonov S.
Substitutes
99. Andonov I. (G) 11. Dosso M. 7. Gogev E. 6. Ivanov L. 17. Kazaldzhiev V. 14. Miletic M. 9. Raychev R. 71. Stoyanov K. 8. Yotov V.
38. Balogiannis K. 7. Iliev N. 28. Jocu H. 22. Kwateng E. 30. Mascote 87. Petrov S. 10. Rodriguez E. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 42. Videv I.
Coaches
Dostanic R.
Baltanov L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shopov G. ↓, Dosso M. ↑,
55', Martinho da Silva E. 🟨,
58', Tsonov S. ↓, Mascote ↑,
58', Chimezie W. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
61', Stefanov I. ↓, Stoyanov K. ↑,
82', Martinho da Silva E. ↓, Jocu H. ↑,
85', Stoev E. ↓, Raychev R. ↑,
85', Minchev I. ↓, Gogev E. ↑,
85', Nedelev T. ↓, Iliev N. ↑,
85', Tindano Z. ↓, Balogiannis K. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Mascote ⚽,
90', Iliev N. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavia Sofia won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slavia Sofia won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Slavia Sofia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now
Botev Plovdiv: 0.43% Slavia Sofia: 0.16%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Botev Plovdiv
10
5
1
4
16:14
2
16
7
Slavia Sofia
10
2
5
3
9:8
1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Botev Plovdiv - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.