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Current Win Probability
CSKA 1948 Sofia 51.3%
Draw 26.3%
Botev Plovdiv 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.8%
23.9%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
23%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA 1948 Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA 1948 Sofia's form might have worsened.
Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA 1948 Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
CSKA 1948 Sofia will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marinov P. (G) 96. Grivic D. 21. Dvali L. 6. Parkhomenko E. 22. Gasevic O. (C) 8. Magnin Y. 67. Frederic 23. Krebs F. 20. Sobrero B. 17. Martines J. 93. Diallo M.
29. Naumov D. (G) 17. Minkov N. 4. Soldo N. 19. Conte A. 27. Hein B. 45. Martinho da Silva E. 14. Algarra C. 10. Rodriguez E. 8. Nedelev T. (C) 11. Pedro Igor 13. Tsonov S.
Substitutes
19. Boychev M. 3. Carrion J. 4. Hoffmann A. 9. Iliev A. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 14. Strinski K. 10. Tsonev B.
28. Jocu H. 90. Kalu S. 30. Mascote 87. Petrov S. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 41. Tindano Z. 42. Videv I.
Coaches
Aleksandrov A.
Baltanov L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Conte A. 🟨,
45+1', Grivic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tsonov S. ↓, Mascote ↑,
53', Krebs F. ↓, Tsonev B. ↑,
65', Hein B. ↓, Tindano Z. ↑,
65', Pedro Igor ↓, Kalu S. ↑,
74', Frederic ↓, Aka J. ↑,
74', Sobrero B. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
79', Algarra C. 🟨,
80', Martines J. ↓, Boychev M. ↑,
84', Martinho da Silva E. ↓, Jocu H. ↑,
89', Tsonev B. 🟨,
90+4', Soldo N. 🟨,
90+5', Rodriguez E. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Botev Plovdiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, CSKA 1948 is a strong favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now
CSKA 1948 Sofia: 3.27% Botev Plovdiv: 0.43%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
CSKA 1948 Sofia
10
7
1
2
19:10
9
22
6
Botev Plovdiv
10
5
1
4
16:14
2
16
Last Results with these Odds
CSKA 1948 Sofia - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Bulgaria
Croatia
Slovenia
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Marinov P. (G) 
Grivic D. 
Dvali L. 
Parkhomenko E. 
Magnin Y. 
Frederic 
Krebs F. 
Sobrero B. 
Martines J. 
Diallo M. 
Soldo N. 
Conte A. 
Martinho da Silva E. 
Algarra C. 
Rodriguez E. 
Pedro Igor 
Kalu S. 
Tindano Z. 
