Match Info

efbet League - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Hristo Botev (Plovdiv)

Referee: Kirov T. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Botev Plovdiv		Montana

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.1	8.5	Watch
	1.47	4	6
	1.38	4.25	7.7
	1.4	4.3	8.84
	1.55	3.41	7.51	Watch
	1.42	4.09	8.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	4.03 ↑ (3.78)	7.84 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Plovdiv
65%

Draw
23.2%

Montana
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

25.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Botev Plovdiv - Montana Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Montana will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Plovdiv: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Botev Plovdiv (votes: 3 - 50%). Montana (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Botev Plovdiv (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Botev Plovdiv (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Montana (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Naumov D. (G) 17. Minkov N. 4. Soldo N. 2. Noga G. 6. Yordanov A. 25. Abraham O. 38. Balogiannis K. 23. Okoflex A. 8. Nedelev T. (C) 11. Tailson 9. Mitkov D.	1. Rosa M. (G) 5. Mihaylov M. 20. Mrsulja A. 18. Iliev K. 25. James S. 23. Tungarov A. (C) 3. Iliadis I. 6. Sakor V. 24. Strinski K. 7. Dimitrov B. 17. Kokonov I.
Substitutes
5. Georgiev M. 7. Iliev N. 3. John E. 27. Martinov E. 30. Mascote 20. Petkov S. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 13. Tsonov S. 42. Videv I.	8. Atanasov P. 16. Azevedo T. 22. Berhane J. 4. Borisov N. 14. Burov D. 9. Ejike P. 10. Todorov A. 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 12. Veskov Y. (G)
Coaches
Kirov N.	Nankov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Abraham O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Balogiannis K. ↓, Iliev N. ↑,
60', Iliadis I. ↓, Azevedo T. ↑,
60', Dimitrov B. ↓, Ejike P. ↑,
65', Mitkov D. ↓, Mascote ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Ejike P. ⚽, Strinski K. (A),
74', Strinski K. 🟨,
74', Strinski K. ↓, Atanasov P. ↑,
74', Kokonov I. ↓, Burov D. ↑,
76', Okoflex A. ↓, Petkov S. ↑,
83', Tailson ↓, Tsonov S. ↑,
85', Sakor V. ↓, Borisov N. ↑,
90+3', Rosa M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 2.

Botev Plovdiv has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Montana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botev Plovdiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Botev Plovdiv is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Botev Plovdiv won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Plovdiv
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Botev Plovdiv	3:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Botev Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1 ✺
04.08.25	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.08.25	Montana - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Montana - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Montana	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Montana - Botev Vratsa	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.02.21	Botev Plovdiv - Montana	1:1
18.09.20	Montana - Botev Plovdiv	3:1
30.04.17	Montana - Botev Plovdiv	2:1
07.04.17	Botev Plovdiv - Montana	7:1
31.03.17	Botev Plovdiv - Montana	2:0
03.11.16	Montana - Botev Plovdiv	3:1
16.04.16	Botev Plovdiv - Montana	2:2

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