Match Info

Parva liga - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Sofia)

Referee: Lyubomirov L. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Serbia	SportKlub 6


	Lokomotiv Sofia		Montana

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.25	Watch
	1.47	4.2	5.75
	1.55	4.05	5.15
	1.61	3.88	5.61
	1.20	6.39	12.60	Watch
	1.53	3.5	6
	1.55	4.15	5.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.74)	4.31 ↑ (3.48)	6.58 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Sofia
63.4%

Draw
22.1%

Montana
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Sofia's performance.

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Montana will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Montana (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Lokomotiv Sofia (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Montana (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 22. Daskalov R. 44. Katsarov B. 91. Bidounga R. 27. Galchev P. 31. Stanoev K. (C) 5. Dost E. 2. Ali D. 8. Luann 29. Aralica A. 7. Delev S.	1. Rosa M. (G) 5. Mihaylov M. 4. Borisov N. (C) 18. Iliev K. 15. Acheampong C. 13. Ekele E. 3. Iliadis I. 10. Todorov A. 24. Strinski K. 9. Ejike P. 17. Kokonov I.
Substitutes
11. Arkhipov V. 16. Borisov K. 21. Chachev K. 4. Dembele S. 13. Diego Raposo 15. Ivanov L. 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 19. Mitkov M. 9. Velichkov B.	8. Atanasov P. 16. Azevedo T. 6. Dinev D. 21. Dobrev V. 25. James S. 22. Kamenov S. 30. Simeonov V. (G) 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 23. Tungarov A.
Coaches
Genchev S.	Kalpakov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Aralica A. ⚽, Galchev P. (A),
9', Bidounga R. 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Delev S. ⚽, Daskalov R. (A),
20', 3 - 0, Dost E. ⚽, Aralica A. (A),
39', Strinski K. 🟨,
44', Katsarov B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ekele E. ↓, Azevedo T. ↑,
46', Iliadis I. ↓, Dobrev V. ↑,
46', Strinski K. ↓, Tungarov A. ↑,
47', Aralica A. 🟨,
61', Bidounga R. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
61', Luann ↓, Diego Raposo ↑,
61', Ali D. ↓, Mitkov M. ↑,
66', Katsarov B. 🟨,
67', Delev S. ↓, Ivanov L. ↑,
72', Kokonov I. ↓, Atanasov P. ↑,
72', Mihaylov M. ↓, Tsekov Dimitrov V. ↑,
88', Aralica A. ↓, Chachev K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 1.

Lokomotiv Sofia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:1 ✺
09.07.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.05.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLTW
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.07.25	Montana - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Levski Sofia - Montana	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Levski Sofia - Montana	3:0 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.05.25	Montana - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
31.08.19	Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana	0:1
08.12.18	Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana	0:1
06.08.18	Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:0
05.03.18	Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia	4:0
12.08.17	Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana	1:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.04.13	Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:3
21.10.12	Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana	0:0

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