Match Info

efbet League - Round 5

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)

Referee: Guteva H. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 7


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Montana

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.25	11	Watch
	1.24	5.5	10.5
	1.2	6.1	11
	1.22	6.37	11.37
	1.12	7.40	23.72	Watch
	1.25	5	11
	1.22	6.25	11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.35)	6.12 ↑ (4.87)	12.8 ↑ (7.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
77.4%

Draw
15.3%

Montana
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

19.2%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.3%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSKA 1948 Sofia's performance.

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	25%	6.2%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Montana Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Montana will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA 1948: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Montana (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - CSKA 1948 (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - CSKA 1948 (1.58) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Montana (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marinov P. (G) 2. Medina D. 88. Traore A. 21. Tsenov E. (C) 15. Soltani F. 34. Vitanov P. 20. Sobrero B. 67. Frederic 10. Tsonev B. 11. Rusev G. 93. Diallo M.	30. Simeonov V. (C) 5. Mihaylov M. 4. Borisov N. 18. Iliev K. 15. Acheampong C. 23. Tungarov A. 3. Iliadis I. 10. Todorov A. 24. Strinski K. 17. Kokonov I. 7. Dimitrov B.
Substitutes
19. Boychev M. 3. Carrion J. 33. Fonkeu W. 96. Grivic D. 94. Iliev A. 17. Martines J. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 4. Vasilev S. 12. Wagninho	8. Atanasov P. 16. Azevedo T. 14. Burov D. 6. Dinev D. 21. Dobrev V. 25. James S. 22. Kamenov S. 1. Rosa M. (G) 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V.
Coaches
Stoyanov I.	Nankov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Diallo M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Rusev G. ⚽,
45', Acheampong C. 🟨,
45+2', Soltani F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sobrero B. ↓, Fonkeu W. ↑,
46', Frederic ↓, Martines J. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Diallo M. ⚽, Tsonev B. (A),
57', Strinski K. 🟨,
61', Tsonev B. ↓, Boychev M. ↑,
73', Kokonov I. ↓, Azevedo T. ↑,
73', Todorov A. ↓, Dobrev V. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Dimitrov B. ⚽, Mihaylov M. (A),
75', Iliev K. 🟨,
79', Fonkeu W. 🟨,
80', Medina D. ↓, Grivic D. ↑,
82', Iliadis I. ↓, Tsekov Dimitrov V. ↑,
85', Vitanov P. ↓, Wagninho ↑,
89', Iliev K. ↓, Atanasov P. ↑,
89', Strinski K. ↓, Burov D. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 3.

Recent performances by CSKA 1948 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, CSKA 1948 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.08.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Maribor - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTWT
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.08.25	Montana - Botev Vratsa	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Montana	3:0 ✺
28.07.25	Montana - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Levski Sofia - Montana	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Montana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
21.09.21	Montana - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.02.21	Montana - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0
13.09.20	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Montana	2:0
Club Friendly
24.06.20	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Montana	1:0
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.02.20	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Montana	2:0
12.08.19	Montana - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1
04.03.19	Montana - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:2

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