Match Info

BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Cherno More Varna		Pirin Blagoevgrad

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	15	Watch
	1.22	5.75	12
	1.22	5.5	13	Watch
	1.23	5.65	14.68
	1.23	5.65	14.68
	1.2	5.5	11
	1.21	6	14.5	Watch
	1.23	5.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.38)	5.71 ↑ (4.59)	13.36 ↑ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherno More Varna
76.6%

Draw
16.4%

Pirin Blagoevgrad
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.4%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

19.9%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cherno More Varna's performance.

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cherno More Varna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Cherno More Varna - Pirin Blagoevgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Cherno More Varna will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Dyulgerov I. (G) 32. Dichev M. 2. Panov T. 3. Atanasov Z. 27. Dimov D. (C) 35. Dakaj A. 5. Alvarez P. 11. Fernandez A. 23. Pacheco E. 8. Soula M. 9. Iliev A.	12. Kovalov M. (G) 77. Yordanov A. 29. Bachev M. S. 38. Dyulgerov A. (C) 83. Popadiyn H. 73. Benguzov V. 20. Souda A. 17. Tyutyukov B. 11. Tasev I. 8. Semeniv D. 19. Komano H.
Substitutes
29. Beyhan B. 7. Breno 86. Isa I. 33. Michael 17. Milushev M. 84. Slavkov H. (G) 4. Stefanov R. 10. Vasilev V. 39. Zlatev N.	33. Aleksandrov S. 16. Georgiev M. 1. Kirev M. (G) 10. Kondrakov D. 25. Kostov I. 9. Kostov S. 18. Minkov V. 30. Todorov L. 27. Varbanov G.
Coaches
Iliev I.	Trenchev I.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cherno More won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Cherno More is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cherno More won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Cherno More won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.10.23	Levski Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
26.09.23	Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWT
- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.10.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Pirin Blagoevgrad	4:0 ✺
02.10.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Slavia Sofia	1:1 ✺
28.09.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.02.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Cherno More Varna	0:1
12.08.22	Cherno More Varna - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0
05.03.22	Cherno More Varna - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1
27.09.21	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Cherno More Varna	2:2
17.04.18	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Cherno More Varna	0:2
30.03.18	Cherno More Varna - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1
24.11.17	Cherno More Varna - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1

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