Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)

Referee: Velikov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Lokomotiv Sofia

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.6	3.2	2.04	Watch
	3.85	3.2	2.06
	3.77	3.31	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.83	3.34	1.98	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (3.96)	3.23 ↓ (3.41)	2.02 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
25.2%

Draw
28.7%

Lokomotiv Sofia
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.3%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Sofia will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Rosa M. (G) 29. Zebic M. 33. Tsonkov S. 17. Budinov I. 70. Dunnwald-Turan K. 27. Mazan R. (C) 20. Petrovic M. 77. N'Zi J. 98. Markelo N. 88. Rusinov I. 10. Makni N.	24. Lyubenov A. (C) 22. Ali D. 20. Teixeira D. 5. Pitsolis A. 12. Bruno Franco 31. Stanoev K. 58. Octavio 27. Galchev P. 11. Brrou A. 7. Delev S. 29. Aralica A.
Substitutes
14. Angelov Y. 15. Guermouche Y. 1. Kort I. (G) 7. Nassar Chouiter S. 44. Nikolaev N. 2. Pavlek D. 21. Penchev B. 9. Ushagelov T. 11. Vukovic D.	21. Chachev K. 26. Diarra M. 18. Dikov S. 25. dos Santos G. 77. Manolkov E. 94. Nenov Y. 4. Orachev M. 1. Petkov D. (G) 55. Trichkov G.
Coaches
Akrapovic B.	Velkov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Budinov I. 🟨,
41', Ali D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Makni N. ⚽, Mazan R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', N'Zi J. ↓, Angelov Y. ↑,
46', Brrou A. ↓, Nenov Y. ↑,
61', Ali D. ↓, Dikov S. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Delev S. ⚽, Aralica A. (A),
70', Budinov I. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
71', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Ushagelov T. ↑,
78', Rusinov I. ↓, Guermouche Y. ↑,
78', Zebic M. ↓, Pavlek D. ↑,
79', Aralica A. (Pen),
88', Galchev P. ↓, dos Santos G. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ushagelov T. ⚽, Makni N. (A),
90+5', Tsonkov S. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Hebar is Parva liga (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hebar won 2.

Hebar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lokomotiv Sofia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lokomotiv Sofia will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Lokomotiv Sofia: Bidounga R. (Yellow Cards) Raposo C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Lokomotiv Sofia: Acka D. (Knee Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hebar won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:12 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hebar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.03.25	Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	6:1 ✺
02.03.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Cherno More Varna	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Levski Sofia	1:4 ✺
09.02.25	Botev Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLLT
- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.03.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Botev Vratsa - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.09.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:0
28.04.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:2
16.02.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1
18.08.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1
29.04.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:4
07.10.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.05.21	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1

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