Match Info

efbet League - Round 30

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Hristo Botev Stadium (Vraca)

Referee: Trenchev S. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Botev Vratsa		Lokomotiv Sofia

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.98	3.05	2.35
	3.05	3.2	2.45
	3	3.15	2.42	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.3
	2.99	3.13	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.45)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	2.38 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Vratsa
30.8%

Draw
30.1%

Lokomotiv Sofia
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botev Vratsa's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botev Vratsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Botev Vratsa - Lokomotiv Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Vratsa: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botev Vratsa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Botev Vratsa (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Botev Vratsa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Orlinov M. (G) 22. Stoychev M. 36. Stoev M. 88. Boyanov L. 44. Goranov I. 21. Tsonev R. 8. Stoyanov A. 97. Naydenov V. 24. Smolenski M. 9. Genov D. (C) 79. Petkov M.	99. Velichkov M. (G) 22. Daskalov R. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 4. Dembele S. 42. Neychev N. 28. Acka D. 5. Dost E. 13. Diego Raposo 64. Yankov D. 7. Delev S. 77. Caue Caruzo
Substitutes
19. Bornosuzov Y. 17. Gallegos J. 81. Hadji K. 55. Jovicic D. 20. Ntelo M. 6. Ouorou T. 91. Polonskyi D. 3. Sanyang S. 1. Vasilev L. (G)	2. Ali D. 17. Gerov E. 33. Ibe J. 27. Lagundzic I. 8. Luann 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 26. Miloshev K. 10. Minchev G. 11. Taoui A.
Coaches
Simov T.	Genchev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Caue Caruzo ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Delev S. ⚽,
45+1', Acka D. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 2, Genov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Stoychev M. ↓, Ouorou T. ↑,
46', Naydenov V. ↓, Gallegos J. ↑,
46', Acka D. ↓, Luann ↑,
63', Diego Raposo ↓, Taoui A. ↑,
64', Petkov M. ↓, Ntelo M. ↑,
72', Yankov D. ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
75', Goranov I. ↓, Sanyang S. ↑,
81', Stoyanov A. ↓, Bornosuzov Y. ↑,
84', Katsarov B. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Ntelo M. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Bornosuzov Y. ⚽,
90+2', Bornosuzov Y. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

Botev Vratsa is efbet League (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Botev Vratsa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Botev Vratsa: 0.16% Lok. Sofia: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9:19	-10	9
11	Lok. Sofia	10	1	4	5	11:18	-7	7

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Sofia - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.59%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.04.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Septemvri Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Botev Vratsa - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Botev Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLWW
- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.04.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.03.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:2 ✺
17.03.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:1
07.05.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	3:0
14.02.25	Botev Vratsa - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:3
23.08.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:1
17.05.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:1
06.11.23	Botev Vratsa - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:2
17.07.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:0

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